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30 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Charleroi
28.4%
Draw
18.0%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Charleroi

vs
0.72

Standard

Markets

BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).