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AHT: 12CSV

11 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.2%
Alanyaspor
35.5%
Draw
24.3%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Alanyaspor

vs
0.93

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.5%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).