Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Ath Madrid
25.6%
Draw
41.2%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Ath Madrid
vs
1.52
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).