Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Schalke 04
15.1%
Draw
74.8%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Schalke 04
vs
2.85
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.553.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-1
6.5%
1-4
5.9%
0-4
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
1-5
3.3%
0-5
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).