Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Milan
28.9%
Draw
32.9%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Milan
vs
1.03
Como
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).