Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Portsmouth
17.6%
Draw
11.4%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Portsmouth
vs
0.65
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).