Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
Toulouse
15.5%
Draw
10.5%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Toulouse
vs
0.82
Troyes
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
3-0
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).