Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Crowborough Athletic
30.4%
Draw
24.9%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Crowborough Athletic
vs
0.82
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).