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01 May 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.0%
Brest
20.3%
Draw
14.8%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Brest

vs
0.75

Clermont

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).