Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Toulouse
23.0%
Draw
53.6%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Toulouse
vs
1.75
Aris
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).