Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Hamburg
26.1%
Draw
39.3%
Ein Frankfurt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Hamburg
vs
1.54
Ein Frankfurt
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).