Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Dunfermline
32.3%
Draw
30.9%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Dunfermline
vs
1.10
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).