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21 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Blackburn
30.5%
Draw
24.3%
Cardiff

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Blackburn

vs
0.87

Cardiff

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).