Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Doncaster
22.1%
Draw
44.1%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Doncaster
vs
1.64
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).