Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Andorra
29.5%
Draw
25.3%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Andorra
vs
0.83
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).