Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Sunderland
32.0%
Draw
36.2%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Sunderland
vs
1.09
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).