Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Wycombe
22.8%
Draw
16.6%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Wycombe
vs
0.69
Northampton
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).