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28 Jan 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.5%
QPR
24.3%
Draw
20.2%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

QPR

vs
1.05

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).