Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Salzburg
28.1%
Draw
23.6%
Hartberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Salzburg
vs
0.96
Hartberg
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).