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AHT: 02

26 Apr 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Katowice
27.8%
Draw
24.9%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Katowice

vs
1.04

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).