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HHT: 10CSV

04 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.9%
Benevento
30.3%
Draw
27.8%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Benevento

vs
1.03

Ternana

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).