Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Hull
26.6%
Draw
47.7%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Hull
vs
1.60
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).