Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Holstein Kiel
13.9%
Draw
72.6%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Holstein Kiel
vs
3.43
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS76.7%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.596.2%
Over 2.587.4%
Over 3.573.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
1-4
6.1%
2-3
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
2-4
4.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-5
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
1-1
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
2-5
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).