Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Logrones
27.2%
Draw
26.5%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Logrones
vs
0.96
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).