Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Aris
17.2%
Draw
13.3%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Aris
vs
0.86
Lille
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).