Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Virtus Entella
27.8%
Draw
50.9%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Virtus Entella
vs
1.56
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.7%
0-2
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).