Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Toulouse
15.0%
Draw
11.7%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Toulouse
vs
0.93
Metz
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).