Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Kilmarnock
17.0%
Draw
69.4%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Kilmarnock
vs
2.64
Celtic
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
7.2%
0-3
7.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-4
4.7%
2-3
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
2-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).