Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
22.8%
Draw
23.8%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.98
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).