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DHT: 01CSV

03 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.2%
Fenerbahce
21.2%
Draw
9.6%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

2.36

Fenerbahce

vs
0.84

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).