Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Wurzburger Kickers
25.8%
Draw
50.6%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Wurzburger Kickers
vs
1.74
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).