Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Besiktas
27.9%
Draw
14.6%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Besiktas
vs
0.86
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).