Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.7%
Lens
7.0%
Draw
2.3%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.26
Lens
vs
0.40
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.8%
2-0
13.6%
4-0
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
5-0
7.9%
3-1
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
4-1
4.9%
1-1
3.3%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
2.5%
3-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).