Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.3%
Crawley Town
14.5%
Draw
14.2%
Redcar Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Crawley Town
vs
1.33
Redcar Athletic
Markets
BTTS69.7%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.580.5%
Over 3.562.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-2
5.2%
1-1
5.1%
4-0
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
4-2
3.9%
5-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).