Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Newcastle
25.2%
Draw
15.3%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Newcastle
vs
0.85
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).