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20 Oct 2024 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.1%
Katowice
24.7%
Draw
19.3%
Śląsk Wrocław

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Katowice

vs
0.99

Śląsk Wrocław

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).