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28 Nov 2021 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Tenerife
29.6%
Draw
34.9%
Sociedad B

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Tenerife

vs
1.05

Sociedad B

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).