Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Union Berlin
25.9%
Draw
15.5%
Sint-Truiden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Union Berlin
vs
0.68
Sint-Truiden
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).