Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Werder Bremen
24.2%
Draw
17.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Werder Bremen
vs
0.95
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).