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27 Sept 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.4%
Rostov
30.5%
Draw
49.1%
Krasnodar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Rostov

vs
1.39

Krasnodar

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.9%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).