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24 Feb 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.6%
Hull
26.2%
Draw
24.2%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Hull

vs
1.09

West Brom

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).