Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Man United
19.2%
Draw
22.4%
Evesham United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Man United
vs
1.37
Evesham United
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.549.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).