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03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.7%
Kidderminster
29.2%
Draw
22.1%
Oxford City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Kidderminster

vs
0.87

Oxford City

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).