Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Oviedo
22.6%
Draw
14.5%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Oviedo
vs
0.70
Eldense
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).