Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Alcorcon
28.4%
Draw
45.3%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Alcorcon
vs
1.28
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).