Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Lugano
34.0%
Draw
25.5%
Sion
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Lugano
vs
0.91
Sion
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).