⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 10CSV

03 Dec 2023 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
16.0%
Ankaragucu
28.3%
Draw
55.7%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Ankaragucu

vs
1.81

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-0
3.3%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).