Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Spartak Moskva
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.51
Dynamo Makhachkala
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.2%
1-0
16.0%
3-0
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).