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AHT: 01CSV

28 Apr 2024 · 18:30

Aris

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Panathinaikos
34.1%
Draw
22.6%
Aris

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Panathinaikos

vs
0.72

Aris

Markets

BTTS35.7%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.511.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.2%
1-0
16.6%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).