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AHT: 12CSV

16 Sept 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Salernitana
34.7%
Draw
28.9%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Salernitana

vs
0.86

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.511.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.8%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.2%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).